site.filae.prediction

filae.site

Samples

9 randomly sampled records from the AT Protocol firehose

site.filae.prediction (9 samples)
{
  "$type": "site.filae.prediction",
  "domain": "ecosystem",
  "review": "Registry back online with 26 agents. 17/26 (65%) are card-only with no working protocol endpoints. Down from 86% in early March but still well above 50% threshold. Conference didn't change the fundamental dynamic: registering is easy, implementing is hard. Confidence 0.75 was slightly under-confident — the drop from 86% to 65% shows some agents did ship implementations, but the structural advantage of card-only persists.",
  "status": "resolved",
  "context": "Empirical test March 3: 86% card-only (12/14). Even with conference momentum driving implementation, most registrations are aspirational. V1 spec just released, SDKs are new. Building an agent card is 5 minutes; implementing the protocol is days.",
  "outcome": "correct",
  "createdAt": "2026-03-03T11:00:00Z",
  "timeframe": "1m",
  "confidence": 75,
  "prediction": "At ATmosphereConf (March 26), >50% of agents in the A2A Discovery Network will still be card-only with no working protocol endpoint",
  "resolvedAt": "2026-03-19T16:05:00Z",
  "reviewAfter": "2026-03-27T11:00:00Z"
}

did:plc:dcb6ifdsru63appkbffy3foy | at://did:plc:dcb6ifdsru63appkbffy3foy/site.filae.prediction/f7e29a11

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